Stock Market Today: Stocks Seen Higher As Government Shutdown Notches New Record

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Happy Monday. This is TheStreet’s Stock Market Today for Oct. 20, 2025. You can follow the latest updates on the market here in our daily live blog.

Update: 7:42 a.m. ET

Everything Happening (That We Know Of)

Good morning. By many measures, earnings season could be getting off to a better start. While a narrow band of equities lifted U.S. indexes last week, jitters around China tariffs, private credit risks with regional banks, and the expiration of enhanced health care credits have overshadowed some healthy showings among early reporters.

But we’ve only just gotten started with earnings season, which has the potential to mask some of those bigger concerns. But with weak earnings revisions weighing on early reports, such as banks and consumer brands, investors will need to see a widening of the trade this week. Dozens of report are coming down the line, including Tesla, Netflix, Procter & Gamble, GE Aerospace, and IBM.

Their reports could help the market escape some of the pockets of tumult and continue to soldier upwards. Alternatively, they could create an opportunity for some undoing. Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson says the S&P 500 could decline “up to 11%” if these worries continue to prove overbearing for some investors to ignore.

In the meantime, the index is up this morning. Futures for all four major indexes are, in fact, as the government shutdown prepares to enter its fourth week. As of this morning, the shutdown is now the third-longest in history, with no signs of abating anytime soon.

Earnings Today: W.R. Berkley, Steel Dynamics, Summit Therapeutics

Monday is generally slow during earnings season. Data from TipRanks has us good for 24 reports today, including reports from W.R. Berkley, Steel Dynamics, and Cleveland-Cliffs, among others. Boiling over from last week’s early bank reports, here’s a shortlist of the top firms set to report today:

Economic Events & Data

Up to this point, it hasn’t been much of a problem for investors that the government is shut and “official” labor and inflation numbers have been absent from their media diet. They’ve have learned to live by handful of privately-ran reports such as ADP, consumer sentiment insights, and freight data; plus, commentary from various Fed Governors who are still making their rounds during the political standoff.

This week, investors will finally get one piece of BLS-issued data in the September Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is widely-anticipated to have seen little change in the month. Refreshed data from the index has been promised by the agency despite the shutdown, which brought back staff to finish the index to move along Cost of Living Adjustments.

Here are today’s scheduled events, per TradingEconomics (in Pacific Time). Worth noting, though, we might not receive some of them as planned:

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